Updated through week 0 (Aug 29–30): results blended into the projections with a nine-game prior weight.
| Rk | Team | Conf | Record | Rating | Off / Def split | Off | Def | Off SR% | Def SR% | Off Expl% | Def Expl% | SRS | Elo | SOS | Tier |
|---|
Rating gap converted to spread points (validated against 2022–24 market lines on matched games), plus each stadium's own home-field value from CFB Depth (shown), none at neutral sites. FCS opponents use one pooled rating, so those lines are rough. Kickoffs in Eastern time; win probability is the home team's.
| Kick | Away | Home | HFA | Spread | Home win | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 09/03 06:00 PM | Massachusetts | at | Rutgers | 2 | Rutgers -23.5 | 93% | |
| Thu 09/03 07:00 PM | West Georgia | at | Kennesaw State | 1 | Kennesaw State -19 | 89% | FCS |
| Thu 09/03 07:00 PM | Merrimack | at | Delaware | 1 | Delaware -19 | 89% | FCS |
| Thu 09/03 07:00 PM | Akron | at | Wake Forest | 1.5 | Wake Forest -13.5 | 80% | |
| Thu 09/03 07:00 PM | UAlbany | at | Buffalo | 1 | Buffalo -13 | 80% | FCS |
| Thu 09/03 07:00 PM | Bethune-Cookman | at | UCF | 2 | UCF -30 | 97% | FCS |
| Thu 09/03 08:00 PM | Colorado | at | Georgia Tech | 2 | Georgia Tech -13 | 80% | |
| Thu 09/03 08:00 PM | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | at | Missouri | 2.5 | Missouri -41 | 100% | FCS |
| Thu 09/03 08:00 PM | Eastern Illinois | at | Minnesota | 2.5 | Minnesota -37.5 | 99% | FCS |
| Thu 09/03 09:00 PM | UAB | at | Illinois | 2 | Illinois -15.5 | 84% | |
| Thu 09/03 09:00 PM | Idaho | at | Utah | 2.5 | Utah -45 | 100% | FCS |
| Fri 09/04 06:30 PM | San José State | at | Eastern Michigan | 1 | Eastern Michigan -2.5 | 56% | |
| Fri 09/04 07:00 PM | North Carolina A&T | at | Georgia State | 1 | Georgia State -20.5 | 91% | FCS |
| Fri 09/04 07:00 PM | Indiana State | at | Purdue | 2 | Purdue -27 | 96% | FCS |
| Fri 09/04 08:00 PM | Long Island University | at | Kansas | 2 | Kansas -33.5 | 98% | FCS |
| Fri 09/04 08:00 PM | Toledo | at | Michigan State | 2.5 | Michigan State -3.5 | 58% | |
| Fri 09/04 09:00 PM | Fresno State | at | USC | 2 | USC -22.5 | 93% | |
| Fri 09/04 09:00 PM | Miami | at | Stanford | 2 | Miami -15 | 17% | |
| Sat 09/05 12:00 AM | UTEP | at | Oklahoma | 4 | Oklahoma -33.5 | 98% | |
| Sat 09/05 12:00 AM | Lafayette | at | UConn | 0.5 | UConn -21 | 91% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 12:00 PM | Liberty | at | James Madison | 1 | James Madison -5 | 62% | |
| Sat 09/05 12:00 PM | Coastal Carolina | at | West Virginia | 2.5 | West Virginia -12 | 78% | |
| Sat 09/05 12:00 PM | New Hampshire | at | Syracuse | 2 | Syracuse -25 | 95% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 12:00 PM | Oregon State | at | Houston | 2 | Houston -14 | 81% | |
| Sat 09/05 12:00 PM | Miami (OH) | at | Pittsburgh | 2 | Pittsburgh -16.5 | 85% | |
| Sat 09/05 12:00 PM | North Texas | at | Indiana | 2 | Indiana -20.5 | 91% | |
| Sat 09/05 12:00 PM | East Carolina | at | Alabama | 4.25 | Alabama -16.5 | 86% | |
| Sat 09/05 12:00 PM | Ohio | at | Nebraska | 3.5 | Nebraska -16 | 85% | |
| Sat 09/05 12:00 PM | Tarleton State | at | Bowling Green | 1 | Bowling Green -13.5 | 80% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 12:00 PM | Bryant | at | Army | 1 | Army -22 | 92% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 12:00 PM | Duquesne | at | Air Force | 1.5 | Air Force -16.5 | 86% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 12:30 PM | Ball State | at | Ohio State | 4 | Ohio State -46.5 | 100% | |
| Sat 09/05 12:45 PM | Kent State | at | South Carolina | 2.5 | South Carolina -29.5 | 97% | |
| Sat 09/05 01:00 PM | Youngstown State | at | Kentucky | 2.5 | Kentucky -34 | 98% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 01:00 PM | Southeast Missouri State | at | Iowa State | 2 | Iowa State -27.5 | 96% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 02:00 PM | Rhode Island | at | Temple | 1.5 | Temple -23.5 | 93% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 03:00 PM | Tennessee State | at | Georgia | 4.25 | Georgia -49.5 | 100% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 03:30 PM | Furman | at | Tennessee | 3.5 | Tennessee -45.5 | 100% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 03:30 PM | The Citadel | at | Charlotte | 1 | Charlotte -14 | 82% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 03:30 PM | Baylor | vs | Auburn | 0 | Auburn -3 | 58% | |
| Sat 09/05 03:30 PM | Boise State | at | Oregon | 3.5 | Oregon -25.5 | 95% | |
| Sat 09/05 03:30 PM | Boston College | at | Cincinnati | 2 | Cincinnati -6 | 65% | |
| Sat 09/05 03:30 PM | Towson | at | Navy | 1 | Navy -26 | 95% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 03:30 PM | Marshall | at | Penn State | 4 | Penn State -15.5 | 84% | |
| Sat 09/05 03:30 PM | Tulane | at | Duke | 2 | Duke -5 | 62% | |
| Sat 09/05 03:30 PM | Maine | at | App State | 1.5 | App State -23.5 | 93% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 03:30 PM | UT Rio Grande Valley | at | UTSA | 1 | UTSA -32.5 | 98% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 03:30 PM | Fordham | at | North Dakota State | 1 | North Dakota State -32.5 | 98% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 03:30 PM | Texas State | at | Texas | 4 | Texas -25.5 | 95% | |
| Sat 09/05 03:45 PM | Oklahoma State | at | Tulsa | 1.5 | Oklahoma State -1.5 | 46% | |
| Sat 09/05 04:15 PM | North Alabama | at | Arkansas | 2.5 | Arkansas -35 | 99% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 04:15 PM | Northern Illinois | at | Iowa | 3 | Iowa -23 | 93% | |
| Sat 09/05 05:00 PM | Alcorn State | at | Southern Miss | 1 | Southern Miss -21.5 | 92% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 06:00 PM | Norfolk State | at | Old Dominion | 0.5 | Old Dominion -28 | 96% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 06:00 PM | Wyoming | at | Colorado State | 1 | Colorado State -3.5 | 58% | |
| Sat 09/05 07:00 PM | Idaho State | at | Utah State | 1.5 | Utah State -27.5 | 96% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 07:00 PM | Arkansas State | at | Memphis | 1.5 | Memphis -11 | 76% | |
| Sat 09/05 07:00 PM | SE Louisiana | at | South Alabama | 1 | South Alabama -21 | 91% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 07:00 PM | Houston Christian | at | Rice | 1 | Rice -17.5 | 87% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 07:00 PM | Sam Houston | at | Troy | 1.5 | Troy -12 | 78% | |
| Sat 09/05 07:00 PM | Eastern Kentucky | at | Jacksonville State | 1 | Jacksonville State -22 | 92% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 07:00 PM | Missouri State | at | Texas A&M | 4.25 | Texas A&M -32 | 98% | |
| Sat 09/05 07:00 PM | Austin Peay | at | Vanderbilt | 3 | Vanderbilt -44 | 100% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 07:00 PM | Abilene Christian | at | Texas Tech | 2 | Texas Tech -49.5 | 100% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 07:00 PM | Charleston Southern | at | Georgia Southern | 1 | Georgia Southern -23 | 93% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 07:00 PM | Murray State | at | Middle Tennessee | 1 | Middle Tennessee -19 | 89% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 07:00 PM | Nicholls | at | Kansas State | 2.5 | Kansas State -39 | 99% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 07:00 PM | Florida International | at | South Florida | 1.5 | South Florida -11 | 76% | |
| Sat 09/05 07:30 PM | Western Michigan | at | Michigan | 4 | Michigan -16.5 | 85% | |
| Sat 09/05 07:30 PM | Clemson | at | LSU | 4 | LSU -3.5 | 58% | |
| Sat 09/05 07:30 PM | Northwestern State | at | Louisiana Tech | 1 | Louisiana Tech -25 | 95% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 07:30 PM | VMI | at | Virginia Tech | 3 | Virginia Tech -35.5 | 99% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 07:30 PM | UL Monroe | at | Mississippi State | 2.5 | Mississippi State -20.5 | 90% | |
| Sat 09/05 07:45 PM | Florida Atlantic | at | Florida | 3.75 | Florida -20 | 90% | |
| Sat 09/05 08:00 PM | Howard | at | Maryland | 2 | Maryland -36 | 99% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 08:00 PM | South Dakota State | at | Northwestern | 2 | Northwestern -37 | 99% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 08:00 PM | Lamar | at | Louisiana | 1 | Louisiana -21 | 91% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 08:00 PM | Utah Tech | at | BYU | 2 | BYU -45.5 | 100% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 09:00 PM | Mercyhurst | at | New Mexico State | 1 | New Mexico State -20.5 | 90% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 09:30 PM | Northern Arizona | at | Arizona | 1.5 | Arizona -40 | 100% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 09:30 PM | Portland State | at | San Diego State | 1.5 | San Diego State -31 | 98% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 10:00 PM | UNLV | at | Hawai'i | 2 | UNLV -5 | 38% | |
| Sat 09/05 10:00 PM | Mississippi Valley State | at | Sacramento State | 0.5 | Sacramento State -14 | 81% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 10:00 PM | Central Michigan | at | New Mexico | 1 | New Mexico -2.5 | 57% | |
| Sat 09/05 10:00 PM | Morgan State | at | Arizona State | 1.5 | Arizona State -31.5 | 98% | FCS |
| Sat 09/05 10:30 PM | UCLA | at | California | 2 | UCLA -2 | 45% | |
| Sat 09/05 10:30 PM | Western Kentucky | at | Nevada | 1 | Western Kentucky -8.5 | 30% | |
| Sun 09/06 04:00 PM | Washington State | at | Washington | 2.5 | Washington -17 | 86% | |
| Sun 09/06 07:30 PM | Notre Dame | vs | Wisconsin | 0 | Notre Dame -25 | 6% | |
| Sun 09/06 07:30 PM | Louisville | vs | Ole Miss | 0 | Ole Miss -9.5 | 73% | |
| Mon 09/07 07:30 PM | SMU | at | Florida State | 3.5 | Florida State -0.5 | 52% |